Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001714 0.001787 0.001862 0.001946 0.002037 0.002134 0.002245
2025-06-08 0.001612 0.001718 0.001832 0.001966 0.002120 0.002292 0.002503
2025-06-15 0.001532 0.001660 0.001803 0.001976 0.002185 0.002431 0.002751
2025-06-22 0.001452 0.001593 0.001754 0.001955 0.002206 0.002514 0.002937
2025-06-29 0.001383 0.001531 0.001704 0.001926 0.002210 0.002572 0.003093
2025-07-06 0.001332 0.001487 0.001671 0.001912 0.002229 0.002648 0.003279
2025-07-13 0.001262 0.001416 0.001600 0.001844 0.002171 0.002612 0.003297
2025-07-20 0.001227 0.001385 0.001578 0.001837 0.002191 0.002684 0.003483
2025-07-27 0.001205 0.001369 0.001572 0.001849 0.002238 0.002796 0.003748
2025-08-03 0.001174 0.001340 0.001548 0.001836 0.002246 0.002851 0.003926
2025-08-10 0.001158 0.001330 0.001546 0.001852 0.002297 0.002976 0.004246
2025-08-17 0.001132 0.001306 0.001526 0.001841 0.002308 0.003036 0.004458
2025-08-24 0.001103 0.001276 0.001498 0.001819 0.002301 0.003070 0.004631
2025-08-31 0.001093 0.001272 0.001505 0.001846 0.002371 0.003242 0.005138
2025-09-07 0.001079 0.001262 0.001502 0.001859 0.002420 0.003384 0.005627
2025-09-14 0.001056 0.001239 0.001480 0.001842 0.002419 0.003433 0.005907
2025-09-21 0.001031 0.001212 0.001453 0.001816 0.002403 0.003451 0.006111
2025-09-28 0.001012 0.001193 0.001435 0.001804 0.002408 0.003511 0.006452
2025-10-05 0.000978 0.001153 0.001387 0.001744 0.002326 0.003392 0.006231
2025-10-12 0.000963 0.001139 0.001374 0.001737 0.002338 0.003460 0.006612
2025-10-19 0.000955 0.001133 0.001374 0.001748 0.002380 0.003597 0.007285
2025-10-26 0.000939 0.001117 0.001358 0.001736 0.002380 0.003645 0.007671
2025-11-02 0.000933 0.001113 0.001360 0.001750 0.002428 0.003806 0.008604